Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1174.612066 1325.943041 1491.453421 1686.248167 1909.667131 2158.403598 2456.996262
2026-01-04 946.460911 1152.030889 1396.370315 1709.687372 2102.908409 2582.826977 3217.116609
2026-01-11 812.265552 1040.515818 1327.670937 1718.435457 2240.909769 2921.800778 3886.797630
2026-01-18 717.321480 957.112584 1272.846765 1723.710152 2358.646005 3232.320332 4545.327516
2026-01-25 657.697884 909.116024 1253.556289 1766.689128 2523.354410 3616.471885 5348.903332
2026-02-01 606.878245 865.334121 1232.034735 1799.312543 2671.086112 3987.223870 6176.933470
2026-02-08 561.128858 822.627763 1205.487317 1818.284361 2796.087578 4333.204685 7008.264005
2026-02-15 522.658810 785.961016 1182.750590 1838.170505 2921.242029 4689.644846 7901.078518
2026-02-22 493.247917 759.670919 1172.239834 1874.399486 3074.140002 5105.761919 8950.679220
2026-03-01 450.233475 707.745041 1115.935479 1828.792631 3082.656339 5274.618680 9576.479149
2026-03-08 409.762907 656.229021 1055.327634 1768.993001 3058.303244 5379.771927 10093.039025
2026-03-15 374.388685 610.078864 999.410742 1711.256738 3030.157028 5472.378160 10594.152208
2026-03-22 362.582474 603.014413 1009.611126 1772.835075 3230.031732 6020.305227 12105.035844
2026-03-29 345.543401 585.551530 1000.306773 1798.045113 3364.330013 6459.155995 13461.445815
2026-04-05 327.678768 565.053112 983.620976 1807.293220 3467.674449 6847.511026 14768.494411
2026-04-12 310.933210 545.138155 966.130808 1812.871362 3563.523526 7231.044557 16125.518147
2026-04-19 300.967558 536.734139 969.010006 1858.326566 3746.062670 7821.443629 18067.730552
2026-04-26 290.305888 526.131652 966.710176 1892.834118 3908.853787 8388.866467 20052.634772
2026-05-03 278.690534 512.786348 957.932809 1912.903412 4042.059518 8905.927153 22001.229012
2026-05-10 268.032975 500.457953 950.071568 1933.941309 4179.479636 9450.350912 24120.665561
2026-05-17 259.947658 492.546520 950.316433 1972.272175 4360.710692 10124.115338 26720.774172
2026-05-24 243.635540 467.055617 912.828894 1924.020117 4332.644968 10275.538454 27867.530928
2026-05-31 227.126199 440.078779 870.336924 1860.763370 4261.642338 10308.734971 28674.540248